| When performing a Reliability Prediction analysis,
the calculations that are performed are based on established reliability
models. |
For electronic components, the two most popular
and widely accepted models are MIL-HDBK-217 and Telcordia. Relex supports
all of the reliability models listed below. Whether you are required to
find a MIL-HDBK-217 or Bellcore MTBF or conduct an analysis using the
RDF 2000 standard from France Telecom or the HRD5 standard from the UK,
Reliability Prediction in Relex is the tool you need.
MIL-HDBK-217
MIL-HDBK-217 was the original standard for
reliability. It was designed to provide reliability math models for nearly
every conceivable type of electronic device. It is used by both commercial
companies and the defense industry, and is accepted and known world-wide.
It is sometimes referred to as MIL 217, MIL Handbook 217, MIL-217, MIL-217F,
MIL-STD-217, or MIL-HDBK-217E, a previous revision. The most recent revision
of MIL-HDBK-217 is Revision F Notice 2, which was released in February
of 1995.
MIL-HDBK-217 includes the ability to perform
a parts count analysis or a part stress analysis. A parts count analysis
provides a simpler reliability math, and is normally used early in a design
when detailed information is not available, or a rough estimate of reliability
is all that is required. A part stress analysis takes into account more
detailed information regarding the components, and therefore offers a
more accurate estimate of failure rate.
Telcordia
The Telcordia reliability prediction model
was originally developed by AT&T Bell Labs. Bell Labs modified the equations
in MIL-HDBK-217 to better represent what their equipment was experiencing
in the field. The main concepts in MIL-HDBK-217 and Telcordia (previously
Bellcore reliability prediction) are very similar, but Telcordia added
the ability to take into account burn-in, field, and laboratory testing.
This added ability has made the Telcordia standard very popular with commercial
organizations. Telcordia Issue 2 is the most recent version of this standard.
The Telcordia reliability prediction model
also supports the ability to perform a parts count or part stress analysis,
but in Telcordia, these different calculations are referred to as Calculation
Methods. Telcordia offers ten different Calculation Methods. Each of these
Methods is designed to take into account different information. This information
can include stress data, burn-in data, field data, or laboratory test
reliability data.
Although the use of Calculation Methods originated
with the Telcordia Model, Relex has taken this concept one step further,
and allows users to implement these Calculation Methods with all Relex-supported
reliability models. This is just another example of the innovations that
Relex offers.
Click
here to read a comparison between the MIL-HDBK 217 and Telcordia standards.
Mechanical Model
In addition to the models used to predict
the failure rate of electronic components, it was found that a model was
required for mechanical components. The Handbook of Reliability Prediction
Procedures for Mechanical Equipment (NSWC-98/LE1) fulfilled that requirement.
This Mechanical model, which was developed
by the United States Navy, provides models for various types of mechanical
devices including springs, bearings, seals, motors, brakes, and clutches.
This is a relatively new standard, and currently the only one of its kind.
PRISM
PRISM is a standard for MTBF prediction and
system reliability analysis, originally developed by the Reliability Analysis
Center (RAC). Relex PRISM provides a number of specific analysis techniques.
Applying process grades to a reliability analysis accounts for the process-related
variability around the assembly or system failure rate. Incorporating
predecessor data into an analysis factors in historical and predicted
data when calculating the overall reliability. The Bayesian analysis technique
facilitates the use of test and field data at the assembly level to enhance
predicted component failure rates with real-life experiences.
217Plus
The 217Plus methodology is based on the RIAC-HDBK-217Plus,
Handbook of 217Plus Reliability Prediction Models. This Handbook was published
in May 2006 by the Reliability Information Analysis Center (RIAC), a Department
of Defense Information Analysis Center sponsored by the Defense Technical
Information Center. The Handbook of 217Plus Reliability Prediction Models
contains the equations and model parameters that form the basis of the
217Plus methodology, which includes the ability to perform both Parts Count
and Parts Stress analyses. The 217Plus methodology supports process grades,
predecessor data, and Bayesian analysis.
CNET 93
CNET 93 (a.k.a. RDF 93) is a standard developed
by France Telecomİ that provides reliability models for a wide range of
components. CNET 93 is a comprehensive model similar to MIL-HDBK-217,
which provides a detailed stress analysis.
RDF 2000
RDF 2000 is a newer version of the CNET 93
standard, developed by UTE. It uses cycling profiles and their applicable
phases to provide a completely different basis for failure rate calculations.
HRD5
HRD5 is a standard developed by British Telecommunications
plcİ that also provides models for a wide range of components. In general,
HRD5 is similar to CNET 93 (a.k.a. RDF93), but provides simpler models
and requires fewer data parameters for analysis.
299B
299B is based on the Chinese standard GJB/z
299B. It was translated into English by Beijing Yuntong Forever Sci.-Tech.
Co. Ltd., and incorporated into Relex. 299B very similar to the MIL-HDBK-217
reliability standard, allowing you to take actual temperature and stress
information into account.
Comparing Telcordia and MIL-HDBK-217
When selecting which model to use for the
reliability prediction of electronic components, it is often helpful to
be able to compare the two most common models to understand the differences.
Based on the requirements of the reliability prediction analysis, it may
be found that one model is more applicable under certain circumstances
than the other. This comparison was designed to offer some understanding
of the differences between Telcordia and MIL-HDBK-217.
There are numerous differences between the
two models, and it would be very difficult to outline all of the intricate
differences. However, when comparing the two models, it is often helpful
to simply review the fundamental differences. These fundamental differences
are outlined briefly below:
Recognition and Acceptance
Telcordia is primarily accepted in the United
States. Although its popularity is growing internationally, it has not
been completely embraced by the international community. Because MIL-HDBK-217
was the original standard for reliability prediction analyses, it is known
and accepted world-wide. MIL-HDBK-217 is sometimes referred to as MIL
217, MIL Handbook 217, MIL-217, MIL-217F, MIL-STD-217, or MIL-HDBK-217E,
a previous revision.
Concentration
When AT&T Bell Labs developed the Bellcore
reliability model (now Telcordia), they concentrated primarily on commercial
equipment. Understandably, the model was designed to focus specifically
on telecommunications. MIL-HDBK-217, however, was much more broad in scope.
MIL-HDBK-217 is geared towards both military and commercial equipment,
and has no specific market focus.
Calculations and Equations
The basis of the Telcordia and MIL-HDBK-217
calculations are very similar. However, when comparing the calculations
of the two models, it is often found that the Telcordia calculations are
generally more optimistic than calculations in MIL-HDBK-217. In addition,
the Telcordia calculations generally require fewer part parameters for
components.
This comparison does not suggest, however,
that Telcordia MTBFs and failure rates will simply always be better. It
simply points out that, depending on the component types being analyzed,
significant differences between MIL-HDBK-217 and Telcordia MTBFs and failure
rates may be predicted.
Consideration of Test Data
As stated earlier, when the Telcordia model
was established, it included the additional capability of considering
burn-in data, laboratory test reliability data, and field data. This feature
is extremely helpful in calculating failure rates that are based on historical
data, rather than simply stress data. In addition, burn-in data is used
to quantify the first year multiplier, which is an indication of infant
mortality.
Although this concept originates from the
Telcordia model, in Relex, users have the ability of using these additional
calculation methods with any Relex-supported reliability model. Again,
this is just another example of the flexibility of Relex.
Multiplier
The Telcordia model was designed to calculate
failure rates in FITs (or failures in time). This value is expressed as
failures per billion hours. This differs from MIL-HDBK-217, which was
designed to calculate failure rates in failures per million hours.
Although this is a significant difference
between the two models, it is a moot point in the Relex Software, because
Relex gives its users the ability to specify what failure rate units they
wish to use. Relex users can select to calculate failure rates in failures
per million hours, failures per billion hours, or failures in any other
unit that they require.
Parts
The part types that are supported between
the two models do differ. Telcordia, for instance, supports additional
miscellaneous part types in its model. Telcordia provides models for gyroscopes,
batteries, heaters, coolers, and computer systems. These part types are
not available in MIL-HDBK-217.
MIL-HDBK-217 also has special part types that
it supports. MIL-HDBK-217 provides models for printed circuit boards,
lasers, SAWS, magnetic bubble memories, and tubes. These part types are
not supported by the Telcordia model.
An important point, however, is that Relex
provides users with the ability to use either model for selected components.
This means, for example, that the majority of the parts in an analysis
may be evaluated using MIL-HDBK-217, but Telcordia could be used for those
special part types that are not supported by MIL-HDBK-217 (or vice versa).
Environments
Because Telcordia was initially designed for
use in the telecommunications industry, the operating environments that
Telcordia supported were very limited. Initially, Telcordia only supported
three different variations of Ground-based environments. However, Telcordia
is rapidly evolving. In the most recent issue of Telcordia, additional
operating environments of Airborne, Commercial and Space, and Commercial
were made available. MIL-HDBK-217, on the other hand, has always offered
a number of different operating environments. Currently, MIL-HDBK-217
supports a variety of ground, sea, air, and space environments.
Quality Levels
Telcordia makes the assignment of quality
levels very simple. The current issue of Telcordia supports four standard
quality levels. These quality levels are identical for all component types,
and are simply based on some generalities regarding the origin and screening
of components.
MIL-HDBK-217 offers a different approach to
quality levels. In MIL-HDBK-217, the quality levels that are used differ
from one part type to another. Rather than having a simple classification
of general quality levels, the quality levels for components in MIL-HDBK-217
are derived from specific data that is component dependent. Therefore,
the quality levels for resistors are different than the quality levels
for semiconductors. The quality levels for semiconductors are different
than the quality levels for integrated circuits. The quality levels for
each part type were designed specifically for that classification of component.
Conclusion
Choosing one model or another is a decision
which must be based on a wide array of factors specific to your application.
Relex Software strives to empower you with a flexible system that allows
you to create a package that best suits your needs. In fact, with Relex,
you can combine both methods together, so you can utilize the best parts
of both models to perform an analysis that most accurately reflects your
design. Relex makes choosing reliability models easy!
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